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2018-19 season predictions

Euro Club Index – 2017/2018 Season Predictions

With the new domestic European football seasons starting up again, Gracenote Sports presents our predictions for how the English Premier League will finish. Using our Euro Club Index ranking of top flight clubs and a proprietary simulation engine considering one million possible scenarios, we’ve developed insights into the most likely final table. Also included are the chances for each team to win the league, finish in the top-4 or to be relegated.

According to our projections, Chelsea will win the Premier League again after another close race.

Top Headlines

The big-5 European Leagues in England, Spain, Germany, Italy and France are all on the verge of starting again. Here is how we see the competitions playing out over the next nine months.

  • Another close title race expected in the English Premier League.
  • Real Madrid and FC Barcelona will once again battle it out to win La Liga.
  • Bayern Munich to continue their Bundesliga domination.
  • Juventus by far the best in Serie A.
  • Paris Saint-Germain to return to the top of Ligue 1.

Premier League

England’s Premier League begins on August 11 and the Euro Club Index predicts a similar story to last season with the same six clubs contending for the title. Lower down, only one of the three promoted teams is projected to return to the Championship.

  • Another close title race expected in the English Premier League.
  • Parity between the best five clubs with Liverpool close behind in sixth.
  • Chelsea most likely Premier League champions with 26% chance of the title.
  • Six clubs to fight for the four places in the 2017/2018 Champions League.
  • Newly promoted Newcastle and Brighton to avoid relegation.
  • Championship play-off winners Huddersfield big favourites to go down.
  • Watford and Burnley the current picks to be relegated with Huddersfield.
Premier League

La Liga

While Spain’s premier competition continues to be a battle between the big two, the fight for the other two places in the Champions League will be fierce.

  • The La Liga championship will again be fought out between Real Madrid and FC Barcelona.
  • Atlético Madrid should again join the big two in the Champions League places.
  • Still a big gap in quality between Atlético and remaining 17 La Liga clubs.
  • Sevilla is the favourite for fourth place in the 2017/2018 Champions League.
  • Half of La Liga’s 20 clubs in danger of relegation.
  • Leganes and Girona most likely to return to the Segunda Division.


The only clear thing about Germany’s Bundesliga in recent years has been the domination by Bayern Munich which first started in 2012/2013. This promises to be an exciting competition with predictions difficult to make.

  • Bayern Munich likely to win their sixth Bundesliga in a row.
  • Borussia Dortmund to be nearest challengers.
  • Remaining 2017/2018 Champions League spots are wide open.
  • VfB Stuttgart most likely to survive after promotion.
  • Little to choose between 16 of the Bundesliga clubs.
  • Eintracht Frankfurt one of the favourites for the bottom three.
  • The never-relegated Hamburger SV most likely to go down.

Serie A

Juventus have dominated Serie A in recent years so the race is more likely to be for who joins them in the 2017/2018 Champions League than for the title itself.

  • Juventus predicted to run away with the league.
  • Napoli and AS Roma should again qualify for the Champions League.
  • Five clubs likely to battle it out for Italy’s final Champions League spot.
  • Crotone and two of the promoted clubs are most likely to be relegated.
  • Of the three promoted clubs, Hellas Verona have the best chance of survival.

Ligue 1

After AS Monaco’s surprising title win last season, the Ligue 1 championship should return to Paris Saint-Germain.

  • Paris Saint-Germain projected to win the league by 12 points.
  • Olympique Lyon most likely to join PSG & AS Monaco in the top-three.
  • Nice, Marseille, Bordeaux and Saint-Etienne are the next best.
  • At least half of the league are potential relegation candidates.
  • Troyes most likely of the promoted trio to stay up.
  • Metz, Strasbourg and Amiens are the favourites to finish in the bottom-three.

These projections will be updated throughout the season here: You can also follow the changing predictions during the season on Twitter at

About the Euro Club Index
The Euro Club Index provides a proprietary ranking of all European football clubs based on competition results over a four year period. A collaboration between Gracenote Sports and Hypercube Business Innovation, the Euro Club Index is updated daily at