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With the final world championship event behind us, it’s time to refresh Gracenote Sports’ 2018 Winter Olympic medal predictions. This report is based on our Virtual Medal Table (VMT) outlining the top-10 most likely PyeongChang podium placements and medal counts as of today, along with predictions on each country’s best performances and rising stars.

As Gracenote Sports has done for previous Summer and Winter Olympic Games, we will update our VMT projections monthly in the lead-up to the PyeongChang 2018 Olympics.


  • A record 29 different countries are expected to win medals at the 2018 Winter Olympic Games, breaking the previous high of 26 won at the last three Winter Games.
  • Germany is currently forecast to top the medal table (ahead of Norway and the United States) with Biathlete Laura Dahlmeier leading the medal count with a total of six.
  • Norway will rely heavily on its Cross-Country Skiing team for success.
  • Team USA looks to equal its best performance since Salt Lake City 2002 with 10 gold medals.
  • France is forecast to have its best-ever Olympics but will dependent on its Biathletes for success.
  • Austria is set for its best gold medal return and highest medal table ranking since 2006.
  • Host nation Korea should outperform its record gold medal haul (Torino 2006, Vancouver 2010).
  • The Netherlands is poised to achieve its second-best Winter Games performance.
  • Russia will decline post-Sochi 2014 but still deliver third-best Winter Games performance since 1992.
  • China can expect best gold medal total at a Winter Games and Canada its best medal total.
Virtual Medal Table Top-10

Here’s a closer look at the top medal placements:

Germany to top PyeongChang medal table

Since the initial publication of the Gracenote Sports 2018 Winter Olympics Virtual Medal Table (VMT) on February 9, Germany is now projected to win one additional gold medal. This will put the country atop the PyeongChang medal table. If Germany finishes in the number one position, it would be the first time since 2006 the country has led the medal count at a Winter Games. Germany also topped the Winter Olympic medal table in 1992 and 1998.

The German team is forecast to take home a total of 35 medals which would be the country’s second-best Olympic performance. Germany won a then-record 36 medals at Salt Lake City 2002. The 14 gold medals currently forecast would be a record for Germany, ahead of the 12 medals won in both 1998 and 2002.

Germany’s Breakout Performance:

We project that German Biathlete Laura Dahlmeier will be the star of PyeongChang taking home six medals including five golds. This would smash Biathlete Michael Greis’ German record of three gold medals, set at Torino 2006.

Dahlmeier’s projected gold total has increased by two since February due to her win in the 15km Individual event and her contribution to Germany’s Mixed Relay gold at the World Championships. The five gold medals and one silver now projected for Dahlmeier in Korea next year would be a repeat of her performance at the recent World Championships.

Germany’s Biggest Contributors:

Laura Dahlmaier – 6 medals (5 gold, 1 silver)

Biathlon – Forecast Gold (10km pursuit, 12.5km mass start, 15km individual, 4x6km relay, 2x6km +2×7.5km relay), Silver (7.5km sprint)

Francesco Friedrich – 2 medals (2 gold)

Bobsleigh – Forecast Gold (2-Man, 4-Man)

Tatjana Hüfner – 2 medals (2 gold)

Luge – Forecast Gold (Single, Team Relay)

Toni Eggert – 2 medals (2 gold)

Luge – Forecast Gold (Double, Team Relay)

Sascha Beneken – 2 medals (2 gold)

Luge – Forecast Gold (Double, Team Relay)

Norway Stands to Achieve Country’s Best

Since our initial PyeongChang VMT projections published in February, Norway has lost six medals including three golds. However, the country’s new predicted total of 34 medals would still be its best, beating the 26 won in 1994 and 2014. Norway’s potential success at next year’s Winter Games is heavily dependent on the sport of Cross-Country Skiing in which 20 medals are at stake for the team.

Norway’s Breakout Performances:

Norway is sending three potential stars to PyeongChang to compete in Cross-Country Skiing disciplines. Petter Northug, Marit Bjørgen and Martin Johnsrud Sundby are each projected to win four medals. Three of Johnsrud Sundby’s medals are forecast to be golds.

Despite being 43-years-old, Winter Olympic legend Ole Einar Bjørndalen is expected to return for his seventh Olympic Games. If he gets onto a podium at PyeongChang, it would mark the sixth different Olympics at which he has medalled. Bjørndalen’s best chances are in the men’s Relay event, the 15km Mass Start where he won bronze at the 2016 World Championships and the 12.5km Pursuit where he won bronze at this year’s World Championships. His 13 Olympic medals are already a record, but one more in PyeongChang will equal Italian Luger Armin Zöggeler’s record of winning medals at six different Winter Olympic Games.

Just competing at PyeongChang 2018 would also equal a record for Bjørndalen. He is poised to join Russian Luger Albert Demtschenko and Japanese Ski Jumper Noriaki Kasai as the only people in history to compete at seven different Winter Olympics. If Bjørndalen wins a medal in an individual event, he will be the oldest person to do so in 110 years. Figure Skaters Marten Stixrud (NOR) and Geoffrey Hall-Say (GBR) are the only older medalists at a Winter Olympics, winning medals at the 1920 and 1908 Games respectively, at age 44.

Norway’s Biggest Contributors:

Martin Johnsrud Sundby – 4 medals (3 gold, 1 silver)

Cross Country Skiing – Forecast Gold (15km freestyle, 50km classic style, 4x10km relay), Silver (2x15km skiathlon)

Petter Northug – 4 medals (2 gold, 2 silver)

Cross Country Skiing – Forecast Gold (Sprint classic style, 4x10km relay), Silver (Team sprint freestyle, 50km classic style)

Marit Bjørgen – 4 medals (2 gold, 1 silver, 1 bronze)

Cross Country Skiing – Forecast Gold (10km freestyle, 4x5km relay), Silver (30km classic style), Bronze (sprint classic style)

United States is Set to Equal its Best Performance with 10 Golds

With 32 medals, four more than were won in Sochi 2014, the United States is currently slated for third place on the medal count. The 10 gold medals forecast for Team USA would equal its best performance at a Winter Games in 2002.

United States’ Breakout Performances:

The star of the U.S. Winter Olympic team is expected to be Speed Skater Heather Bergsma (formerly Heather Richardson) who is pegged to win two gold medals and one bronze. Her Dutch husband Jorrit Bergsma is projected to win three medals – possibly four if he takes part in the Team Pursuit event.

American Alpine Skier Lindsey Vonn is predicted to win two Olympic medals next year and double her career medal total to four, despite only returning to the competition earlier this year after severely fracturing the humerus in her arm in November 2016.

United States’ Biggest Contributors:

Heather Bergsma – 3 medals (2 gold, 1 bronze)

Speed Skating – Forecast Gold (1000m, 1500m), Bronze (500m)

Mikaela Shiffrin – 2 medals (1 gold, 1 silver)

Alpine Skiing – Forecast Gold (Slalom), Silver (Giant Slalom)

Julia Marino – 2 medals (2 silver)

Snowboard – Forecast Silver (Big Air, Slopestyle)

France to Enjoy Best Winter Olympics Ever

France is forecast to have its best Winter Games with 20 medals, including nine golds, according to the latest VMT projections. The previous best Winter Games for France were at Sochi 2014 when the country’s team returned with 15 medals including four golds.

France’s Breakout Performances:

Gold success for France depends heavily on Biathlete Martin Fourcade who is currently forecast to account for nearly half of the country’s first place finishes. If Fourcade wins all five of those medals, he will have done better than any French competitor at a Winter Games; only Jean-Claude Killy (1968) and Fourcade himself (2014) have won three medals at a single Winter Olympics.

France’s Biggest Contributors:

Martin Fourcade – 5 medals (4 gold, 1 silver)

Biathlon – Forecast Gold (10km sprint, 12.5km pursuit, 15km mass start, 20km individual), Silver (2x6km + 2×7.5km relay)

Marie Dorin Habert – 4 medals (2 silver, 2 bronze)

Biathlon – Forecast Silver (4x6km relay, 2x6km + 2×7.5km relay), Bronze (10km pursuit, 15km individual)

Austria Dips in Medal Count from Sochi Winter Games

Austria is currently projected to win 15 medals in PyeongChang, two fewer than its Sochi total. However, the seven gold medals forecast would be Austria’s best return since 2006.

Austria’s Breakout Performances:

Alpine Skier Marcel Hirscher, the nation’s leading contender, is currently forecast to win three golds. Ski Jumper Stefan Kraft and Snowboarder Anna Gasser are also likely to be crucial to Austria’s success at next year’s Winter Games.

Austria’s Biggest Contributors:

Marcel Hirscher – 3 medals (3 gold)

Alpine Skiing – Forecast Gold (Giant slalom, Slalom, Combined)

Stefan Kraft – 3 medals (2 gold, 1 bronze)

Ski Jumping – Forecast Gold (Normal hill, Large hill), Bronze (Team – large hill)

Anna Gasser – 2 medals (1 gold, 1 bronze)

Snowboard – Forecast Gold (Big Air), Bronze (Slopestyle)

Korea to Dominate Short Track and Speed Skating

For 2018 Olympics host country Korea, Short Track and Speed Skating are key events providing the most promising medal opportunities. The current projection of seven gold medals for Korea would be a new best for the country at a Winter Olympics.

Korea’s Breakout Performances:

Short Trackers Shim Suk Hee and Choi Minjeong are forecast to win two gold medals each in PyeongChang.

Korea’s Biggest Contributors:

Choi Minjeong – 2 medals (2 gold)

Short Track – Forecast Gold (1000m, 3000m relay)

Shim Suk Hee – 2 medals (2 gold)

Short Track – Forecast Gold (1500m, 3000m relay)

Netherlands Unlikely to Repeat Best Performance in 2014

The Dutch posted a record-breaking performance at Sochi 2014 winning 24 medals. While this is unlikely to be repeated next year, the VMT projects the Netherlands will take home 19 medals from PyeongChang, marking the country’s second-best performance at a Winter Games.

Netherlands’ Breakout Performances:

Speed Skater Sven Kramer, currently forecast to win three gold medals, is expected to be the Dutch star. Fellow Speed Skaters Jorrit Bergsma, Kjeld Nuis and Ireen Wüst and Short Tracker Sjinkie Knegt are expected to also contribute multiple medals to the Dutch total.

Netherlands’ Biggest Contributors:

Jorrit Bergsma – 4 medals (1 gold, 3 silver)

Speed Skating – Forecast Gold (Team Pursuit (if selected)), Silver (5000m, 10000m, mass start)

Sven Kramer – 3 medals (3 gold)

Speed Skating – Forecast Gold (5000m, 10000m, Team Pursuit)

Ireen Wüst – 3 medals (1 gold, 2 silver)

Speed Skating – Forecast Gold (Team Pursuit) Silver (1500m, 3000m)

Kjeld Nuis – 2 medals (1 gold, 1 silver)

Speed Skating – Forecast Gold (1000m), Silver (1500m)

Sjinkie Knegt – 3 medals (3 silver)

Short Track – Forecast Silver (500m, 1500m, 5000m relay)

Russia Projected 10 Fewer Medals than at Sochi 2014

The Russian team is currently projected to finish PyeongChang 2018 with 22 medals including six golds. While a total of 22 would be 10 fewer than when Russia hosted the Winter Games in 2014, it would still be the third-best Russian performance at a Winter Games.

Russia’s Breakout Performances:

Speed Skater Pavel Kulizhnikov looks to be Russia’s best prospect for multiple medals. He is currently forecast to win gold in the 500m and silver in the 1000m. Provided she is the individual female Figure Skater selected for the team competition by Russia, Evgeniya Medvedeva will also have a great chance to take home more than one medal.

Russia’s Biggest Contributors:

Evgeniya Medvedeva – 2 medals (2 gold)

Figure Skating – Forecast Gold (Singles, Team (if selected))

Sergey Ustiugov – 2 medals (1 gold, 1 silver)

Cross Country Skiing – Forecast Gold (2x15km skiathlon), Silver (4x10km relay)

Pavel Kulizhnikov – 2 medals (1 gold, 1 silver)

Speed Skating – Forecast Gold (500m), Silver (1000m)

China Expected to Break the Country’s 2010 Gold Medal Record

China is forecast to win six gold medals and break the country’s current record gold medal total of five set at Vancouver 2010. The VMT currently forecasts nine Chinese medals of all hues, just short of the country’s standing record of 11 (Torino 2006, Vancouver 2010). They could look to equal or exceed their best performances in 2018 if its athletes improve between now and then.

China’s Breakout Performance:

Short Tracker Wu Dajing is set to be the team’s star as he is currently forecast to win two gold medals in PyeongChang.

China’s Biggest Contributors:

Wu Dajing – 2 medals (2 gold)

Short Track – Forecast Gold (500m, 5000m relay)

Fan Kexin – 2 medals (1 gold, 1 silver)

Short Track – Forecast Gold (2x15km skiathlon), Silver (4x10km relay)

Canada Set to Break Its Current Record with 28 Medals

Canada has dropped from a projected fifth position on the Virtual Medal Table to 10th since February. This slippage is due to Canada losing four projected gold medals. Freestyle Skiers Justine Dufour-Lapointe and Marielle Thompson have dropped from gold medal positions in the last three months as have Short Tracker Charles Hamelin and Snowboarder Mark McMorris.

However, Canada’s athletes are currently forecast to win 28 medals at PyeongChang 2018, two more than the country’s record of 26 when it hosted the Vancouver Games in 2010. Winning at least 17 medals would mean that all five of Canada’s best Winter Games will have been in this century.

Canada’s Breakout Performances:

Short Tracker Marianne St-Gelais is predicted to win multiple medals for Canada in PyeongChang as are Snowboarder Mark McMorris and Speed Skater Ted-Jan Bloemen. If St-Gelais wins four medals as is currently projected, she would be the second Canadian to take home such a large medal haul from a single Winter Games. Speed Skater Cindy Klaassen was the first to achieve this for Canada in 2006.

Canada’s Biggest Contributors:

Marianne St-Gelais – 4 medals (2 silver, 2 bronze)

Short Track – Forecast Silver (500m, 1500m), Bronze (1000m, 3000m relay)

Ted Jan Bloemen – 3 medals (3 bronze)

Speed Skating – Forecast Bronze (5000m, 10000m, Team Pursuit)

Mark McMorris – 2 medals (2 silver)

Snowboard – Forecast Silver (Big Air, Slopestyle)

Reid Carruthers – 2 medals (1 gold, 1 silver)

Curling – Forecast Gold (Team), Silver (Doubles)

Joanne Courtney – 2 medals (1 gold, 1 silver)

Curling – Forecast Gold (Team), Silver (Doubles)

Other Headlines:

  • Switzerland and Sweden to both deliver top-three Winter Games performances.
  • Czech Republic projected to win nine medals which would be the country’s all-time best, beating its Sochi 2014 total of eight.
  • Japan expected to equal the country’s best-ever Winter Olympic total with 10 medals.
  • Great Britain projected to have best-ever Winter Olympics with a total of six placements, but no gold.
  • Australia set to achieve its best Winter Olympics performance with four medals largely due to Freestyle Skiing and Snowboard competitions.
  • Latvia gearing up for its first Olympic Winter Games gold.
  • Spain set to hit the podium for the first time at the Winter Games since 1992.
  • Belgium increases its chances for Winter Olympic gold for the first time in 70 years.
  • Great Britain projected to have best-ever Winter Olympics with a total of six placements, but no gold.
  • Hungary looks to place on the Winter Olympic podium for the first time in 38 years.
  • Bulgaria to win first Winter Olympic medal in 12 years.
  • Ukraine doubles down on biathlon relays to increase medal opportunities.
  • Finland to improve on disappointing medal totals at recent Winter Olympics.
Most Valuable Player

Deeper Dive on Other Nations:


The Swiss team is projected to win 13 total medals at next year’s Winter Olympics. This would mark the country’s best return since Torino 2006. Such a total would be the third-best in the nation’s Winter Olympic history and approach its record of 15 medals won at Calgary 1988.

Swiss success at PyeongChang 2018 is heavily dependent on Alpine Skier Lara Gut who is forecast to win two medals (Gold for Super G, Bronze for Downhill). Gut will also participate in Switzerland’s Alpine Skiing team event where silver is projected.

Czech Republic

Currently forecast to win nine medals at PyeongChang 2018, the Czech Republic may experience its best-ever Winter Olympic Games, beating the eight medals it won three years ago at Sochi 2014. That medal haul was Czechoslovakia’s previous best before dividing into the Czech Republic and Slovakia.

The Czech Republic and Czechoslovakia never won more than two gold medals at a Winter Olympics but the female trio of Speed Skater Martina Sáblíková (Gold for 3000m, 5000m), Biathlete Gabriela Koukalová (Gold for 7.5km Sprint, Silver for 10km Pursuit, 12.5km Mass Start and 15km Individual) and Ester Ledecká (Snowboard) are all forecast to win gold in Pyeongchang. Sáblíková is currently ranked number one in two events and the Czech Republic is projected to double its best gold medal total at a Winter Games.


The Japanese team has increased its projected medal total from seven to 10 since February. Japan’s gold medal forecast has also grown from one to three as recent performances by Figure Skater Yuzuru Hanyu and Freestyle Skier Ayana Onozuka have pushed them to the top of the podium in their respective events.

If Japan manages to win 10 medals, it will equal the country’s best-ever Winter Olympic total at Nagano in 1998. Three gold medals would be Japan’s second-best total behind the five won at Nagano 1998.

The gold and silver currently forecast for Japanese Ski Jumpers Sara Takanashi and Yuki Ito would be only the second pair of Japanese competitors to win gold and silver in the same Winter Games event. The only other strong finish dates back to Sapporo 1972 when Ski Jumpers Yukio Kasaya and Akitsugu Konno were 1st and 2nd on the normal hill.


The Swedish team is expected to have one of its best Winter Games performances with 14 medals forecast. Despite the retirement of cross-country skier Johan Olsson, it is the same total as in February. Sweden won 15 medals at Sochi 2014 and 14 medals  at Torino 2006.

Sweden’s performance appears heavily reliant on Cross-Country Skier Charlotte Kalla who is currently projected to win three medals (two individual and one in the relay). Kalla (2014) and Anja Pärson (2006) are the only Swedish women to win three medals at a single Winter Olympics. Other potential multiple medallists for Sweden next year include Skier Frida Hansdotter with two silver medals and Cross-Country Skier Stina Nilsson who is also projected to win two silvers.


Four medals are currently forecast for the Australian team in PyeongChang. This would mark the country’s best Winter Olympic performance, beating the three medals won at Sochi 2014. All four medals are currently expected to be won in Freestyle Skiing and Snowboard and shared between Britteny Cox, Scott James, Danielle Scott and Alex Pullin.

Australia’s total of four medals is two fewer than the VMT predicted back in February. However the country’s gold medal projection is up from one to two.


Italy has a vast array of medal hopefuls for PyeongChang 2018 with 37 participants and teams currently ranked in the top-8 of the VMT. However, only four of these are currently forecast to win medals. Of those four, Cross-Country Skiers Dietmar Nöckler and Federico Pellegrino are both projected gold.

With so many medal prospects, it is highly unlikely that Italy will finish with as few as four medals so we should expect that projection of four medals to increase by the time PyeongChang 2018 begins. That said, the country’s success will rely on the likes of Alpine Skier Sofia Goggia, Biathlete Dorothea Wierer and Short Track skater Arianna Fontana outperforming current VMT expectations and landing inside the top-3 in their respective events. If Italy finishes with just four medals, it would be the country’s poorest return at a Winter Olympics since Sarajevo 1984.


Latvia is forecast to win gold for the first time at a Winter Games according to the VMT. Skeleton Slider Martins Dukurs is the most likely to win the individual event in which his older brother Tomass is also a medal contender and currently projected in seventh position. Martins and Tomass Dukurs will both be competing in their third Winter Games.

Bobsleigh is the other potential medal sport for Latvia with Oskars Melbardis driving the best Latvian two-man and four-man teams. Melbardis is currently forecast to win a silver medal in the four-man Bobsleigh.


Poland is currently expected to win two medals at next year’s Winter Olympics. Much depends on Ski Jumper Kamil Stoch who is projected to take home individual silver on the large hill and gold in the team event. Cross-Country Skier Justyna Kowalczyk, the country’s most decorated winter Olympian with five Olympic medals to her name, is not currently forecast to add to that total.


Snowboarder Seppe Smits is projected to deliver Belgium’s first Winter Games gold medal in 70 years and only the country’s second ever. The first was won by Figure Skating pair Micheline Lanooy and Pierre Baugniet at St. Moritz 1948. Speed Skater Bart Swings is also a likely medal winner. Belgium has not won an Olympic Winter Games medal since Dutch-born Speed Skater Bart Veldkamp won bronze at Nagano 1998, the country’s only Winter Games medal won since 1948. Two Belgian medals at a Winter Games would equal the country’s best at St. Moritz 1948.


Alpine Skier Ilka Štuhec is set to follow her compatriot Tina Maze by winning the women’s downhill title for Slovenia. The now-retired Maze is the only Slovenian to take home Winter Olympic gold, winning two events at Sochi 2014. Slovenia is projected to win only two medals at PyeongChang 2018; this would be quite a drop from the eight won by the country in Sochi across five different sports.

Great Britain

Four medals for Great Britain at Sochi 2014 was the country’s biggest medal haul at a Winter Games in 90 years. It looks as though the British will beat that performance in a year’s time to set a new best. Short Tracker Elise Christie, who was disqualified in three races in Sochi, is forecast to pick up half of Britain’s medals at PyeongChang 2018. Skeleton Slider Lizzy Yarnold is again expected to claim a podium place after winning gold in Sochi. Britain also has big medal hopes in Freestyle Skiing and Curling.


At the last two Winter Olympics, Finland has posted its lowest medal totals since 1972. At PyeongChang 2018, the Finns are expected to again repeat the same medal total again (5). Cross-country skiers Krista Pärmäkoski and Iivo Niskanen are the main medal hopefuls for Finland in next year’s Games.


Spain has won two Winter Olympic medals in its history. Figure Skater Javier Fernández appears poised to win the country’s first Winter Games medal since 1992. Fernández is currently forecast for silver. However, if he can improve, he will win Spain’s first Winter Olympic gold since Alpine Skier Francisco Fernández Ochoa won the Men’s Slalom event at Sapporo 1972. A gold medal for Javier Fernández would be the country’s second-ever at a Winter Olympics. Spain also has a second projected medal at PyeongChang 2018 with Lucas Eguibar (bronze) in Snowboard Cross. Previously, Spain has never won two medals at a single Winter Games.


Alpine Skier Tina Weirather can win Liechtenstein’s first Olympic medal since Calgary 1988 as she is currently forecast to win silver in the Super G. Weirather’s mother, Hanni Wenzel, won four of Liechtenstein’s nine Olympic medals taking home two gold, a silver and a bronze at the 1976 and 1980 Winter Games. Wenzel’s brother Andreas won two more of Liechtenstein’s medals in 1980 and 1984. This means that two-thirds of the country’s Olympic medals will have been won by members of Tina Weirather’s family.


Hungary’s Short Track brothers Sandor Liu Shaolin and Shaoang Liu are set to win the country’s first Winter Olympic medal since Lake Placid 1980. Currently, Hungary is forecast to win three medals which, if achieved, would be one third of the total won by the country in its Winter Olympic history. The Short Track distances of 500m, 1000m and 5000m relay are the events in which Hungary is expected to win Olympic medals next year.


Slovakia is forecast to win Winter Olympic medals for the fourth successive Games. But with double Olympic gold medal winner Anastasiya Kuzmina unlikely to participate in PyeongChang, Slovak focus will shift to Alpine Skiing. Slalom Skiers Veronika Velez-Zuzulová and Petra Vlhová are the country’s best chances for medals in the team Alpine Skiing competition. Slovakia has not previously won an Olympic medal in that event.


Biathlon Relays provide Ukraine’s best chance of a medal at PyeongChang 2018 with bronze currently forecast in the women’s 4 x 6km relay. Since Ukraine started to compete in the Winter Games as an independent nation in 1994, the country has managed to win medals at every installment except 2002 and 2010. That said, Ukraine has never won more than two medals at any Winter Olympics.


Belarus has won medals at every Winter Olympics since becoming independent. But the country is only projected to bring home one from PyeongChang, five fewer than the country’s haul at Sochi 2014. Freestyle Skier Anton Kushnir is forecast to win that sole medal, but Biathlete Darya Domracheva who won three golds in Sochi is currently rated just outside the top-3 in four events and could add to Belarus’ total if she outperforms VMT expectations.


Snowboarder Radoslav Yankov is currently projected to win Bulgaria’s first Winter Olympic medal since Torino 2006. Short Track skater Evgenia Radanova is responsible for half of the nation’s total of six medals. If Radoslav Yankov wins his medal as expected, Snowboard will be the fourth sport in which Bulgaria has won Winter Olympic medals.


While the men’s Curling team representing Denmark is not currently projected to win a medal at PyeongChang 2018, the squad can be regarded as a medal prospect with a top-8 ranking in the VMT. Denmark’s only previous medal at the Winter Olympics was also in Curling nearly 20 years ago at Nagano 1998.


Estonia has one medal prospect in Freestyle Skier Kelly Sildaru. Each of Estonia’s seven Winter Olympic medals to date have been won in Cross-Country skiing. Andrus Veerpalu (2002, 2006) and Kristina Šmigun-Vähi (2006 and 2010) were responsible for six of Estonia’s total of seven Winter Games medals.


Kazakhstan has three medal prospects but none are currently projected to win a medal by the Virtual Medal Table. Kazakhstan has competed at six Winter Olympics winning medals at four of them but missing out in 2002 and 2006.

New Zealand

New Zealand’s sole Winter Olympic medal was won by Alpine Skier Annelise Coburger at Albertville 1992. Snowboard, Speed Skating and Freestyle Skiing provide a total of six medal prospects in the latest VMT projection for New Zealand to add to that medal total. However, none of the six are currently forecast to finish in the top-3.

No other NOCs are represented in the top-8s of any of the events in our Virtual Medal Table.